Interesting articles, June 2026

The U.S. and Iran continued trading blows while simultaneously working on a peace deal:

A schism has developed between America and Israel over the Iran War:

The peace deal between the U.S. and Iran does not alter the fundamental balance of power that existed before the war and punts on the hardest issues (Iran’s nuclear program, missiles, and whether it can be recompensed in some form for the damage they suffered). It wasn’t worth it.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/18/world/middleeast/iran-deal-oil-strait-of-hormuz-nuclear.html

This guy has earned an early retirement: ‘Pilot of fighter jet downed over Iran was previously shot down in Kuwaiti friendly fire incident, sources say’
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/fighter-jet-pilot-downed-iran-previously-shot-down-kuwaiti-friendly-fire/

The pilot claims a swarm to Iranian drones, including some resembling jellyfish, tried attacking him before the crash.
https://www.cnn.com/2026/06/23/politics/iran-drones-f-15-pilot-intelligence

‘This is the first known instance of a drone boat being used to recover personnel as part of a search and rescue mission’
https://www.twz.com/sea/this-is-the-corsair-drone-boat-that-plucked-the-downed-apache-crew-out-of-the-gulf-of-oman

The U.S. retired the last of its iconic Harrier jump jets, leaving Italy and Spain as the only users.
https://www.twz.com/air/marines-av-8-harrier-jump-jet-takes-its-final-bow

European multinational defense projects have a poor track record: ‘Germany and France drop joint fighter jet project’
https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/german-french-leaders-unable-resolve-fcas-fighter-jet-dispute-sources-say-2026-06-08/

Thailand still uses U.S.-made, WWII-era M41 Walker Bulldog light tanks. They’re so old that they have to be towed around by younger tanks. The Thais towed them to points along the Cambodian border during the recent conflict, covered them in sandbags, and used them as fixed defensive points.
https://x.com/AnnQuann/status/2042280939045470229

Something like “Operation Tracer” will become common once robots are more ubiquitous. Imagine small surveillance drones operating from a “nest” close to a military base, port, or other point of interest.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Tracer

‘Spy turtles’ and ‘spy fish’ being used to monitor Chinese waters, Beijing claims
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jun/12/china-spy-turtles-spy-fish-monitor-waters-claims

A Ukrainian drone attack on an oil terminal in Moscow caused spectacular damage.
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/moscow-oil-refinery-hit-by-drone-attacks-is-unlikely-resume-production-this-year-2026-06-24/

Ukrainian drones struck an oil terminal in St. Petersburg, Russia’s second-largest and second-most-important city.
https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-petersburg-oil-terminal-putin-drone-887969921c595f3a81c3b6c0b120b5f3

Ukraine claims the world’s first fully autonomous drone kill of a human. They say the incident happened two years ago.
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2529849-fully-autonomous-drones-have-killed-human-soldiers-for-the-first-time/

The Ukraine War is now longer than WWI.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/11/world/europe/ukraine-russia-world-war-i.html

‘Some say this is now the future of wars in which states seek to capture territory: two sides endlessly pinned down by small, cheap and all-seeing killers. General Valery Zaluzhny, Ukraine’s ambassador to London and formerly its commander-in-chief, says that large-scale manoeuvre warfare—armies moving with speed and shock, in contrast to frontal, attritional battles—is now “unattainable”. It will become possible again only when wars evolve into robot-on-robot fighting at machine speed.

Others treat this as fanciful. Stephen Biddle, a professor at Columbia University, argues that the scale of the sensor revolution is “easy to exaggerate”. As new counter-drone systems—lasers are especially promising—appear, and as jammers and dazzlers blind satellites, the balance may tilt again, bringing some relief to ground forces.

…’When Mr Lee says Ukraine is in a “world-war-one moment”, it is tempting simply to understand him in terms of immobility and attrition. But he is also thinking about the new tactics of 1918 which, by combining surprise, right-first-time “predicted” artillery fires and small, well-drilled assault teams, made decisive breakthroughs possible again and brought the trench warfare to an end. “Defensive capabilities have taken the advantage,” he says. “Now we’re going to see the demands for technology and tactics that will help re-establish manoeuvre.”’
https://www.economist.com/interactive/essay/2026/05/28/the-dangerous-delusion-of-modern-warfare

Geoffrey Hinton, who won Nobel Prize for AI research, says AIs are already conscious.
https://youtu.be/OV_WXmuHaiI?si=_JWYMlWPLL4JWqnI

‘Microsoft AI chief [Mustafa Suleyman] walks back comments about AI taking over white-collar work’
https://www.theverge.com/tech/946879/microsoft-mustafa-suleyman-ai-white-collar-jobs

The U.S. government forced Anthropic to sharply restrict usage of its newest and most powerful LLM, “Mythos”, after a client figured out how to override its safety guardrails. Mythos’ ability to hack into other computers is as good as or better than elite human hackers. Ideological and personality differences between Trump and Anthropic’s founder may have also played a role in the move.
https://www.economist.com/briefing/2026/06/18/anthropics-astonishing-commercial-success-makes-it-a-target

Machines have gotten so good at writing computer code that they may soon be able to build improved versions of themselves, with each new generation rapidly building the next. This phenomenon, called “recursive self-improvement,” could lead to true AI being created abruptly and without enough human influence of its values and goals. The cofounder of Anthropic thinks this could happen as early as 2028.
https://www.economist.com/science-and-technology/2026/06/07/how-artificial-intelligence-got-better-at-building-itself

More about the implications of recursive self-improvement.
https://www.economist.com/by-invitation/2026/06/15/humanity-isnt-ready-for-the-coming-intelligence-explosion

Claude Code is a sloppy coder. So are most humans:

‘Current AI coding tools are deeply imperfect and prone to faults, but so are most coders and coding teams. Assign programmers the output of other programmers, and almost to a `T’ they will declare it unmaintainable, unintelligible, and that the best course of action is rewriting from scratch. Yet suddenly when you introduce AI into the equation, an imaginary panacea arises about traditional humanoid coding teams.

Could good developers make code at the same level or better with the proper effort and consideration? Of course! But often we’re throwing together something as quickly as possible to solve an immediate problem or under tight deadlines (//TODO – fix this hack later!), don’t want to bother “premature optimizing” design or performance considerations until it reaches a critical problem level, or we’re putting in minimal effort while we browse Indeed on the other monitor.

The real world conditions most developers generate code in does not promote top quality code. From which most code out there is not top quality code.’
https://dennisforbes.ca/blog/microblog/2026/06/on_ai_criticism/

As an experiment, a Twitter user posted an image of one of Monet’s lesser-known paintings but claimed he had used an AI image generator to create it. A large number of other Twitter users responded by claiming they could tell the image was artificial and inferior to Monet’s real work. I love this meta-reply to the thread:
‘It’s funny how people say s**t like “AI will never be useful to anyone because it could just randomly start talking confidently about something that it actually has absolutely no understanding of” and then they proceed to do exactly the same f**king thing.’
https://www.reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/1td046p/twitter_user_posts_a_real_monet_and_says_its_ai/#lightbox

Machines are now better at debating than professional human debaters.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.16475

The “Europe 2031” report predicts the Continent, caught between the U.S.-China AI race, could slide into irrelevance.
https://europe2031.ai/summary/

A new paper from Google Deepmind, “From AGI to ASI”, says the proto-AIs we have now have no independent drives, but that won’t be true for future AIs. They’ll be subject to the same, fundamental evolutionary pressures as organic life forms, and the ones that adapt the best will turn out to be the dominant ones.
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2606.12683

The leading U.S. LLMs have at least slight liberal biases.

Elon Musk has become the world’s first trillionaire. I predicted this milestone would not happen until the 2040s!
https://apnews.com/article/musk-spacex-tesla-ipo-trillionaire-billionaire-worth-rockets-7723f82b6063a9a17c194e25982cd66d

SpaceX has bought the AI startup Cursor to reinvigorate its own AI technology.
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/16/spacex-spcx-cursor-acquisition-ipo.html

Oracle is laying off 21,000 workers thanks to automation.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4gy0x0j5deo

The U.S. government declassified more UFO files. As I thought, none of them contains real evidence of aliens, and none is fundamentally different from other, equally credible UFO reports that have long been in the public domain.
https://apnews.com/article/trump-ufo-file-release-third-batch-34c2a9b294e94a972f352df42c4a17ae

The woman who won a Nobel Prize for co-discovering the CRISPR gene editing technique believes AI will accelerate some areas of medical research, but is deeply skeptical of the claims from “tech bros” that machines will soon achieve breakthroughs thanks to running computer simulations of cells and human bodies. These grandiose predictions include things like curing all cancers and reversing the aging process.
https://youtu.be/n-hWHV2ZKOA?si=ejJRXttJns6_jxYL

Autism is much more common in trans people than in cis people.
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10313553/

‘Olympic gold medalist Julia Krajewski, who piloted [racehorse] Chilli Morning II and once competed against the original Chilli Morning, said the clones are eerily similar, and seem to share not just physical characteristics and capabilities, but also quirks.

“They’re all not big fans of sunken roads,” Krajewski said, referring to a combination of jumps on cross-country courses that test a horse’s ability to jump down, rock back and jump up again.

…In 2024, Kheiron also produced the world’s first genetically-edited horses using Crispr technology. Those horses, clones of the Polo Hall of Fame mare Polo Pureza, have an edit in a gene that regulates muscle development.’
https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/general/more-top-horses-are-being-cloned-rattling-the-world-of-equestrian-sports/ar-AA24Zq9X

Our knowledge of which human genes code for which traits has been improving exponentially.

A round of IVF will produce many zygotes that have major genetic defects. Today, they are thrown out. In the future, when fixing them is a simple matter, things will be different.
https://www.techexplorist.com/extra-chromosome-causes-down-syndrome/103237/

A new method of genetically altering human embryos with fewer errors than CRISPR has been found: ‘Efficient base editing and development in human embryos without chromosomal alterations’
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.05.30.728989v1

This makes some strong points against mass genetic health screening:

1) What is the use in screening for deadly incurable diseases?

2) What is the use in screening for diseases where genetics are not destiny? For example, if a gene leaves you with a 20% risk of eye cancer, that means you’re 80% likely to NOT get it. Telling you that you have the gene will saddle you with a lifetime of worry and ultimately needless and expensive precautionary treatments.

3) Mass screening programs that require people to share the genetic data with public health agencies for broader genetics research raise concerns about personal privacy and state coercion.
https://www.economist.com/science-and-technology/2026/06/29/should-every-babys-dna-be-sequenced

A new pancreatic cancer drug extended patient survival times by six months.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy82l435171o

GLP-1 drugs lower the risk of breast cancer.
https://www.goodmorningamerica.com/wellness/story/doctor-breaks-study-showing-glp-1s-lower-breast-133551460

The shingles vaccine reduces dementia rates.
https://erictopol.substack.com/p/spotlight-on-the-shingles-vaccineagain

The HPV vaccine has eliminated cervical cancer deaths among young British women.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c621z28z138o

What Will Posthumans Do for Fun?

[Written with help from GPT-5]

Probably more than anything else, I want to live long enough to see the arrival of medical immortality. I don’t merely want to avoid death—I want to live forever.

As serious and analytical as I can seem, I have an insatiable curiosity and a love of life. I want to learn new things, master new skills, immerse myself in unfamiliar cultures, and experience lives radically different from my own. Unfortunately, the world I was born into leaves too little time for such pursuits. Like everyone else, I’ve had to spend much of my life studying things and working jobs I wasn’t passionate about simply to pay the bills. The knowledge that there is no law of physics prohibiting biological immortality gives me hope that a far richer existence may be possible for me.

For years, I’ve imagined what I would do with that gift: I’d start by moving to a small town in Italy, a country I visited only once but loved. I’d master the language, learn to cook authentic dishes, open a tiny restaurant, and slowly become part of the community. If, after twenty years, I grew restless, I’d move on. Maybe I’d become a train conductor in Tokyo. Later, a safari guide in Tanzania. After that, maybe a technician at a research station in Antarctica. There are thousands of cultures, professions, and ways of life I find worth experiencing. At the slow pace of my ordinary human mind, even a thousand years would not be enough to live every life I want to live. For years, my post-Singularity life plans seemed to be settled.

Then I realized something unsettling: The same technology that would allow me to pursue those dreams would also make them obsolete.

Suppose I survive long enough to purchase an immortality treatment, regain the body and mind I had at 25, and can subsist comfortably off of my savings from my lifetime of labor in our humdrum era. My Italian adventure begins exactly as I imagined.

A few years later, new enhancements appear. I install an upgrade that dramatically increases my speed of thought. Another allows direct connection to fully immersive virtual reality, like the Matrix.

Suddenly, I no longer need to move to Italy at all. I can experience the same town inside a simulation. In fact, the simulation could easily be better than reality. The architecture is perfectly preserved, but the intrusive chain restaurants disappear, the abandoned buildings at the edge of town are restored, and the inhabitants become more interesting. The ugly, slab-sided data center in the valley below vanishes. Historical events can be replayed. If my goal is to understand Italian culture and enjoy living there, the simulation wins on every metric.

Better still, I can run the simulation at ten times normal speed. I could spend what feels like twenty years there while only two years pass outside. If my goal is to experience new things and to indulge in a foreign culture, it makes logical sense to do it with as little delay as possible.

The same would apply to Tokyo, Tanzania, Antarctica, or anywhere else.

But this is only the beginning. After living the equivalent of a century across dozens of simulated lives, I would eventually notice the one constant present in every experience, and the one thing that is holding me back: me.

My personality, interests, ambitions, and sense of beauty all arose from an accident of genetics combined with the circumstances of my upbringing. Had I inherited different genes or been raised elsewhere, I might have despised travel and instead found perfect happiness watching football games at a neighborhood bar every weekend.

So why stop at changing my environment? Why not change myself?

If future technology allows me to safely and reversibly alter the architecture of my own mind, I would certainly try it. I could temporarily become someone with an entirely different personality. For example, rather than experiencing Italy as an American outsider, I could experience it through the mind of someone born there. I could live as a woman, as a mathematical genius, or as an ancient military commander. As someone whose greatest joy comes from creating art rather than studying technology. I’ve long observed that many other people are more upbeat than I am and get more pleasure from life, so I’d want to try being naturally optimistic.

After enough centuries, my original personality would become only one possibility among countless others. This is why I believe speculations about the post-Singularity future are misguided: People usually assume that while technology will change, human desires will stay the same. Machines will perform all labor, leaving us free to spend eternity enjoying today’s pleasures: eating wonderful food, traveling the world, falling in love, having sex, raising families, playing games.

But why should we assume that? Human pleasure is not objective; it is contingent.

What we find beautiful, meaningful, or enjoyable is largely the product of the particular brains evolution happened to give us. As argued in the essay Circuits – and the Arbitrariness of Beauty and Value, there is nothing inherently beautiful about trees, sunsets, or flowing water. Had we evolved from flies, perhaps our greatest works of art would celebrate rotting carcasses. Had we evolved from spiders, perhaps poetry would glorify the perfect web or the exquisite struggle of trapped prey.

Beauty is subjective.

A posthuman mind would not simply think faster or remember more facts. It would likely possess entirely new categories of sensation and experience that Homo sapiens literally cannot imagine. Just as a bat perceives aspects of reality unavailable to us through echolocation, or a mantis shrimp experiences colors beyond human vision, posthumans may inhabit experiential worlds inaccessible to ordinary human consciousness.

Science fiction occasionally hints at this possibility. In the Star Trek: Deep Space Nine episode “Favor the Bold,” the shapeshifter Odo and the Female Changeling have sex while both are in humanoid form. Afterwards, the Female Changeling dismisses the encounter as only “a shadow” of the experience of linking—when Changelings merge together in their natural liquid state, sharing thoughts, emotions, and identities directly. Human sex, perhaps the most intimate experience our species knows, is revealed to be only a pale imitation of something categorically richer.

If posthuman minds discover analogous forms of experience, then our greatest pleasures may eventually appear as primitive as finger painting appears to an accomplished artist.

Even humans who refuse to become posthuman may not escape this conclusion. Many people imagine that “unaltered” humans would continue enjoying ordinary pleasures while only enhanced humans drift into strange new forms of existence. But advanced technology may offer ordinary humans something even more seductive.

In the 1950s, neuroscientists James Olds and Peter Milner implanted electrodes into the brains of laboratory rats, allowing the animals to stimulate parts of their own reward circuitry by pressing a lever. The rats repeatedly activated the stimulation, neglecting food, water, and rest in favor of obtaining another pulse of pleasure. The experiments demonstrated that directly activating the brain’s reward systems could overwhelm many other motivations.

Future technologies—whether brain-computer interfaces, cybernetics, or medical nanotechnology—may eventually stimulate human reward circuits directly while preventing habituation. If so, eating, travel, relationships, and every other natural pleasure might become hopelessly inefficient compared to continuous engineered bliss. The result could be a civilization whose members voluntarily spend centuries immersed in uninterrupted ecstasy, scarcely interacting with the outside world at all.

So what will posthumans actually do for fun?

I suspect there are only three broad possibilities:

The first is the Pleasure Machine. Through countless small modifications, people gradually strip away everything except raw pleasure itself. Every intermediate activity—food, games, travel, conversation—is eventually recognized as merely an inefficient path toward the neurological state they actually desired all along. Pleasure becomes the destination rather than the reward for reaching it. You’re the lab rat eternally pushing the button so you can feel the best orgasm or first hit of heroin. Your shallow but incredibly blissful existence renders you a defenseless parasite that the AGIs and posthumans who still work for a living will be tempted to kill to free up resources.

The second is the Incomprehensible Life. Posthumans discover forms of experience that are deeper, richer, and more meaningful than anything available to Homo sapiens. Just as a Changeling’s “Great Link” surpasses human intimacy, posthuman existence may consist of experiences we cannot even describe because our brains lack the conceptual vocabulary to represent them. The closest analog we might have is a math genius experiencing a moment of insight in how to complete an important theorem.

The third possibility is the Ascetic Intelligence. After centuries or millennia of experimentation, some individuals may conclude that pleasure itself is merely an evolutionary tool rather than life’s highest purpose. They may deliberately reconfigure themselves to desire understanding, creativity, or civilization-building instead of happiness. With sufficiently advanced control over one’s own mind, even anhedonia could become not a disorder but a chosen mode of existence. Such beings might resemble Buddhist sages crossed with superintelligent scientists—nearly devoid of ordinary human wants and in fact shorn of most of what it means to be human, yet capable of extraordinary insight. Since these individuals would still be thinking, working assets, they would be less vulnerable to marginalization and destruction than the previous two kinds.

The irony is hard to escape: The technology that grants my dreams will also transform the dreamer.

When people ask what posthumans will do for fun, they assume the beings inheriting our civilization will still share our concept of fun. I doubt they will.

Links:

  1. A discussion of the Star Trek Deep Space Nine episode where two aliens capable of shapeshifting into anything decided to turn into humans so they could have sex. They didn’t like it.
    https://www.startrek.com/news/when-sexuality-is-literally-fluid
  2. Dan Faggella’s essay “Circuits – and the Arbitrariness of Beauty and Value” https://danfaggella.com/circuits