Roundup of interesting articles, June 2018

The Sun never sets on the U.S. military empire.

The U.S. Army will buy up to 473 new “Bradley fighting vehicles,” but they’re so different from older variants that they probably shouldn’t be called “Bradleys” anymore.
http://www.foxnews.com/tech/2018/06/27/army-makes-massive-bradley-buy-up-to-473-vehicles-to-prep-for-major-power-war.html
Upgrade details: https://breakingdefense.com/2016/10/rebuilding-the-m2-bradley/

A Pentagon OIG report says that old Soviet Mi-17 Hip helicopters are better-suited to service in Afghanistan the newer American UH-60s. In a saner world, this would put the brakes on our plans to sell UH-60s to them, but the DoD operates in a world of its own.
http://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/21558/pentagon-admits-afghanistans-new-black-hawks-cant-match-its-older-russian-choppers

At the White Sands Missile Range, there’s a facility where antiaircraft weapons are tested on helicopters, which are strung up on a long cable stretched between two mountaintops.
http://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/21834/theres-a-place-where-helicopters-fly-on-high-wires-and-get-pummeled-by-missiles

Weirdly, the Ukrainian military is buying RPG-7 rocket launchers that are made in America, even though Ukraine has its own factory for making them.
https://www.thefirearmblog.com/blog/2018/05/21/national-guard-of-ukraine-purchases-american-made-rpgs/

The Sun never sets on the U.S. military empire.
https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/06/us-military-bases-around-the-world-119321

It turns out the widely mocked 1950s “Duck and Cover” slogan and accompanying cartoons were actually sage advice. Nuclear war is survivable.
https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2018/06/11/would-you-know-what-to-do-during-a-nuclear-attack-218675

[North Korea said] “[The] imperialist yankees can sometimes be helpful.”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dai_Hong_Dan_incident

According to virtual wind tunnel simulations, the fighter craft from Star Wars have poor aerodynamics. Yes, it doesn’t matter when they’re flying through the vacuum of space, but what about all the times they’ve been shown flying in a planet’s atmosphere?
https://youtu.be/PilQTjw1Qis

I think nuclear missiles will be common space weapons. Newton’s Third Law would also make it hard to shoot projectile weapons since it would nudge your ship in the opposite direction. There would also probably be “effective speed limits” on how fast the space ship would travel, since burning up 51% of your fuel to charge headlong at the enemy will mean certain death for you if you are pointed towards the depths of space.
https://www.quora.com/What-would-a-realistic-space-battleship-look-like

Facebook has abandoned its project to use high-endurance flying drones to broadcast internet to poor parts of the world. However, Google’s counterpart, which uses high-altitude balloons, is still going strong.
https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-44624702

Just think: In only about five years, there will be A.I.s that can debate politics with humans on Facebook, never tiring, never taking offense, and replying instantly to anything you write.
https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-44531132

The criminal who just committed a mass shooting at a Maryland newspaper was hard to fingerprint at the police station and he refused to give his name, so the police took a photo of him and quickly identified him by uploading it to the Maryland Image Repository System (or MIRS), “which includes over ten million photos drawn from known offenders and the state’s entire driver’s license database.”
https://www.theverge.com/2018/6/29/17518364/facial-recognition-police-identify-capital-gazette-shooter

Since it was announced that a DNA genealogy website had been used to catch the Golden State Killer in April, four other cold case murders have been solved using the same technique.
https://www.technologyreview.com/the-download/611548/a-dna-detective-has-used-genealogy-to-point-police-to-three-more-suspected/

Pigs that are genetically engineered for disease resistance have been created and might be destined for widescale use.
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-44388038

If you want an idea of how radically we could improve humans through genetic engineering, read articles like this and then consider that IQ is at least 50% genetic.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-44668452

Richard Feynman was one of the greatest minds of the 20th century, but as a child scored a mere 124 on an IQ test (smarter than average, but not genius-level). It’s possible that the disappointing score simply owed to the fact that there was too low a ceiling to the difficulty of the math questions.
https://infoproc.blogspot.com/2008/07/annals-of-psychometry-iqs-of-eminent.html

Between 2000 and 2015, pneumonia and meningitis vaccine drives in poor countries saved the lives of almost 1.5 million children under age 5.
https://medicalxpress.com/news/2018-06-million-children-hib-pneumococcal-vaccines.html

The FDA just approved a cannabis-based drug to treat people with seizures.
https://apnews.com/16829deb1ce0489aa7e0bd1afa02eb73/Medical-milestone:-US-OKs-marijuana-based-drug-for-seizures

A new study suggests that 70,000 American women with breast cancer make needless use of chemotherapy. For them, chemo doesn’t improve survival rates more than using other treatments with milder side effects.
https://apnews.com/9f30770a3a3d42538cd3f14672cd6529/Many-breast-cancer-patients-can-skip-chemo,-big-study-finds

Gerontologists in Italy have found that the mortality rate hits 50% once a person turns 105, and stays at that level indefinitely, suggesting that the ultimate limit on human lifespan is unknown.
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-018-05582-3

In the distant future, there will be a single database with the genomes of quadrillions of different organisms, including DNA from all humans. If paired with something like a cloning lab, it could create any organism in the database from scratch. It reminds me of a combination of the “Universal Constructor” from the Deus Ex video game and the use of organic “blanks” in The 6th Day movie to rapidly make human clones.
https://qz.com/1315829/the-dna-of-all-the-animals-on-earth-will-be-recorded-in-an-enormous-new-genetics-project/

The Straight Dope, one of the best sources of mythbusting and digestible anecdotes about the oddities of history and science, may be shutting down for good.
https://www.straightdope.com/a-note-from-cecil-adams-about-the-straight-dope/

Old photos that have turned black with age can be restored using an x-ray scanner. Someday, we’ll be able to use more advanced techniques to restore/upgrade old film footage and photos to perfect clarity. They’ll do highly accurate and natural-looking colorizations of black and white photos.
https://techcrunch.com/2018/06/25/new-technique-brings-secrets-out-of-old-daguerreotypes/

“If AI rationally allocates resources through big data analysis, and if robust feedback loops can supplant the imperfections of “the invisible hand” while fairly sharing the vast wealth it creates, a planned economy that actually works could at last be achievable.”
This same thought occurred to me a few years ago. Communists shouldn’t get too excited though, since the same AI-powered mass surveillance system would also keenly understand the abilities of each human and could track whether they put in an honest day’s work or not, which would in turn affect the AI’s decisions about how “fair shares” of the day’s wealth should be allocated.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/theworldpost/wp/2018/05/03/end-of-capitalism/

If you’re only counting animals that might have consciousness and can probably feel pain, daily births are in the billions per day. Since those species’ populations are mostly steady-state (neither growing nor declining overall), then the same number of deaths must happen each day. Many of those deaths are agonizing because they owe to untreated injuries, disease, or slaughter at the hands of unskilled humans. There’s a fringe coalition of transhumanists, altruists, and animal rights advocates who think it is humanity’s ultimate mission to use technology to end this cycle of suffering, possibly by capturing all wild animals and putting them in something like The Matrix. All humans would also go vegetarian or switch to lab-grown meats.
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-44412495

‘The Summit’s theoretical peak speed is 200 petaflops, or 200,000 teraflops. To put that in human terms, approximately 6.3 billion people would all have to make a calculation at the same time, every second, for an entire year, to match what Summit can do in just one second. ‘
That is probably not true. We don’t know how much computation the human brain does, but the best guesses converge on the “tens of petaflops” realm, plus or minus one order of magnitude. So what this milestone really means is that, for $400-600 million, we can now build a supercomputer with the same raw processing power as 1-10 human brains. That sounds pretty snicker-worthy until you remember the cost-performance of supercomputers improves by an order of magnitude every 5-7 years. So using a conservative extrapolation, a supercomputer with the same power as 1-10 human brains should cost single-digit millions of dollars by 2033, putting them within reach of midsized businesses and second-tier college Computer Science departments. Big entities like militaries, spy agencies and Google will collectively have tens or hundreds of thousands of them. If we haven’t built an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by 2040, it won’t be thanks to deficient or costly computer hardware. It will be because we don’t know how to properly arrange the hardware to support intelligent thought and because of a failure to develop the software of intelligence.
https://qz.com/1301510/the-us-has-the-worlds-fastest-supercomputer-again-the-200-petaflop-summit/
https://aiimpacts.org/trends-in-the-cost-of-computing/

Mathematicians proved that the maximum number of moves needed to solve a Rubik’s Cube of any configuration is 26. A deep-learning machine with no knowledge of how the Cubes worked managed to teach itself how to solve them 100% of the time in 30 moves, on average.
https://www.technologyreview.com/s/611281/a-machine-has-figured-out-rubiks-cube-all-by-itself/

Streaming is the future of video games. Someday soon, no one will need a console device like a Playstation or Xbox or games saved on physical media discs to play their video games.
https://gizmodo.com/if-streaming-is-the-future-of-console-gaming-it-might-1827056790

The TCL television is 55″ and 4K, but it only costs $600. The tests showed it was only slightly worse than the equivalent $1,300 Samsung TV.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-switch/wp/2018/06/08/this-tv-youve-never-heard-of-is-the-best-tv-deal-weve-ever-seen/

Assuming a constant 3% inflation rate, $1 million in the year 2120 will only be worth $50,000 in today’s money. Being a “millionaire” in the future will be meaningless, and the title will probably fall out of use. (Similarly, it wasn’t long ago that having a $100,000 income was a huge deal.) But given that central banks support price inflation because it’s a sneaky way of cutting wages without making human workers mad, will inflation stop once machines take over the economy?
https://www.officialdata.org/2018-dollars-in-2120?amount=50000&future_pct=0.03

Here’s an old episode of the Joe Rogan show where he debates a very skilled tech skeptic named “Bruce Damer” who pours a lot of cold water on his optimism. Start watching about halfway through.
https://youtu.be/SSf2bVpibmw

My idea for “solar Venetian blinds” was commercialized by a company called “SolarGaps” a few months before I wrote my blog entry. Dang it! An overlooked advantage of having an all-knowing AI is that it would warn you up front if your big idea had already been thought of by someone else. Humanity could use its energies much more efficiently without wasting time reinventing the wheel.
https://youtu.be/whrroUUWCYo

China’s effort to corner the global market in rare earth metals failed because they’re not actually that rare, and other countries have large deposits of them.
https://www.theverge.com/2018/4/17/17246444/rare-earth-metals-discovery-japan-china-monopoly

Review: “Jupiter Ascending”

The promise…

Last night, I had the misfortune to “watch” this movie, though I put that in quotation marks since I spent most of the two hours looking at Internet stuff on my tablet. Even just listening to it and glancing at it, the film was clearly horrible, so I won’t waste time writing a detailed review, and I’ll keep this short and only touch on the important points. Suffice it to say, this was another strike-out for the Wachowskis.

…and the reality.

Plot: The human race originated elsewhere in the galaxy and became space-faring millions of years ago. A vast empire was created and (unbeknownst to us) came to encompass the Earth. 200,000 years ago, the super-advanced space humans seeded Earth with human life so our planet could be a giant farm (reminiscent of what the Machines were doing in the Wachowskis’ other, vastly better film, The Matrix). Once Earth achieved 21st century levels of population and technology, the space humans planned to come back, kill all the Earth humans, and harvest our corpses to extract our life forces, which could be preserved, bottled, and sold as age-reversing beverages to other space humans. I’m being completely serious. The space humans have in fact done this mass farming process many times before on other planets throughout the galaxy, and the bottled life force industry is a major part of the space economy.

Mila Kunis is a lowly Earth-born human who doesn’t know about any of that at the start of the movie. She is poor and has a job cleaning toilets. The only thing unique about her is that her first name is “Jupiter” (the space humans also have a secret base on the planet Jupiter, hidden beneath the clouds). However, thanks to a huge coincidence, it turns out her genetic code is identical to the code of a space human queen who died. Counting up all the space humans, Earth humans, and primitive humans living on other farm planets, there are so many humans that the amount of possible genetic variability given the limited size of our genome has been “maxed out,” and genetic duplicates who are unrelated to each other are being born. Statistically speaking, this would indeed happen, but the human population would need to be in the quadrillions.

The space humans find out about Mila somehow, and the dead space queen’s feuding rich and powerful children start sending teams of armed aliens to kidnap her. Cue fight scenes with laser guns, aliens flying through the air, space ships, and all that schlock. It was pretty bad.

Analysis: Turning to the technologies that the advanced space humans had, here are my thoughts on whether we Earth humans might someday also attain them.

A multi-thousand year old lady

Humans will look young and old at the same time. The space humans achieved medical immortality long ago thanks to the bottles of liquid life force. Periodically drinking the liquid or dunk oneself into a bathtub full of it would cause the signs of old age disappear from one’s body, truly restoring it to a more youthful state. The key space human characters who are fighting over Mila Kunis are tens of thousands of years old due to long-term use of the elixir. However, they appear to have strange mixes of youthful and elderly traits.

I believe that technology (and not the consumption of the “life force” of other humans) will someday grant us medical immortality and the ability to reverse the aging process. Human beings are just machines (albeit very complex ones made of organic matter), and like any other machine, in principle periodic repairs could keep any human alive indefinitely. The techniques and technologies that we use in the future to fix our bodies will be primitive and ugly at first, but over time will become more sophisticated and finessed. I can envision a window of time starting maybe 100 years from now when life extension therapies are in wide use, and treated people have mixes of young and old traits. For example, you might see people in their 90s who have unusually good complexions thanks to mechanical hearts, and unnaturally thick heads of colored hair thanks to cloned, implanted hair follicles, but in every other respect, they would look like old people. Better technologies created later on will allow full body rejuvenation, meaning young/old mixes will probably disappear in the long run.

Part of the floor is in “transparent mode.”

Floors will be able to turn transparent. There is a scene on one of the space ships where one of the evil space humans is trying to force Mila Kunis to marry him to finish the final step in his evil plan. When she refuses, he pushes a button on a remote control or something, and the floor that they’re standing on turns transparent like glass, so Mila can look down and see that her Earth human family is being held prisoner in a torture chamber one level below them. “Either marry me, or they die!” he then bellows.

This is actually an entirely plausible technology that could be created in the near future with massive OLED screens and multitudes of tiny cameras (basically, you’d be watching a live surveillance camera feed of the building level below you, but displayed on a screen covering your entire floor), or with nano-engineered building materials that can turn transparent or opaque depending on whether or not electric current is being passed through them (Google “electric glass” or “switchable glass” plus the keyword “bathroom”). Note that the Wachowskis also showcased this type of technology in the movie Cloud Atlas, but it was used to make walls transparent instead of floors.

A swarm of tiny flying drones, not from the movie, but from real life. They can be programmed to fly in formation and to swarm into certain shapes.

Humans will be able to mind-control insects. There’s a scene early in the movie, shortly after Mila Kunis realizes that space humans are after her, when she seeks refuge at Sean Bean’s house. Sean Bean is actually a space human who lives on a farm somewhere in the Midwest, in an old house that is covered with beehives jutting out of all the exterior and interior walls. Bees fly all over the place, but they don’t sting Sean Bean because he has some kind of mental control over them. The shelves and tables throughout the house are covered in jars full of honey, meaning he probably makes money by selling them. Sean Bean served in the space human military before some kind of falling out with his commanders, which also resulted in him secretly moving to Earth to do beekeeping. As if this whole setup weren’t absurd enough, when the bees form a cloud around Mila, Sean says something like “Bees can sense human royalty,” so their behavior serves as proof that she’s genetically identical to the dead space human queen.

As I said in my Starship Troopers review, there’s no scientific proof that human or animal telepathy exists, but cybernetic brain implants could give rise to essentially the same ability through science. Theoretically, a human with a brain implant could wirelessly transmit his thoughts to a bee that also had a brain implant, and those thoughts would control its movements and actions. However, in light of the tediousness of installing implants into the pinprick-sized brains of bees or other insects, and of the lack of any useful applications for the technology, I doubt it will ever interest anyone but a few scientists doing proof of concept experiments.

It would be cheaper, easier and better to build purpose-built machines like bee-sized flying drones for this rather than to jerry-rig animals. Flying drones are constantly shrinking in size, and there’s no reason to think it won’t eventually be possible to make them indistinguishable from insects. Eventually there will be swarms of flying robot insects that can coordinate their movements and actions, and humans will be able to control them just as they can control simpler flying drones today. Eventually, technology could allow humans to control them by thought alone, as I’ve described.

Bee-like robot drones would have agricultural uses as crop pollinators and pest killers, and they could also perform mass surveillance and have law enforcement and military uses. Human brain implants would have a variety of uses, such as enhancing intelligence and the senses. As I said in my last Personal Future Predictions blog entry, I don’t think human brain implants will be common before 2100. Insect-sized robots will be invented much sooner since they’ll need less sophisticated technology and won’t be delayed by the FDA approval process (brain implants will probably be categorized as medical devices).

ALIENS! Don’t ask what’s going on. I assure you it is completely stupid.

Humans and aliens will work together. The space humans have created a galactic empire that encompasses some non-human aliens. Some of them look like the stereotypical big-headed gray aliens, and they try to abduct Mila Kunis at the start of the movie. (There are also androids and human-animal hybrids in the movie, but whatever.) Other aliens are seen walking around inside space ships and cities on other planets, and the space humans appear at ease with them.

I think intelligent alien life exists elsewhere in the galaxy, and if we survive long enough to explore deep space, we will probably encounter them, or we will at least spot them at long range with our telescopes. However, I also believe we’ll discover that things unfold in the same basic order across the galaxy, with primitive organic life automatically arising on planets where the right natural conditions exist, an intelligent organic species evolving on a minority of those planets, followed by a minority of those planets being taken over by intelligent artificial life forms that the intelligent organic species invents, followed by the artificial life forms being the most successful at developing better technologies and colonizing space. We will find that the most powerful and most advanced alien species are basically machines (I say “basically” because they might be so advanced that they have characteristics that are not stereotypically mechanical).

Liberated from the slowness and imprecision of biological evolution, intelligent machines could rapidly re-engineer themselves to adapt to space and to other planets. Since some forms are inherently more functional than others (e.g. – tires work better when they’re shaped like circles instead of rectangles, regardless of what planet you’re on), convergent evolution would happen among artificial life forms that were spacefaring and free to do what they wanted. If our future civilization discovered aliens of equal or greater sophistication, we’d probably find many major similarities between our machines, though the organic life forms from their home planet would be quite different and incompatible with ours.

Instead of the Star Trek vision of the future where space exploration proceeds with humans calling the shots, and technology is still “dumb,” I think the reverse will be true, and our role will be more akin to that of a pet dog brought along by its human family on a road trip. The dog is not in charge, didn’t plan the trip, and is very stupid compared to the humans. The humans brought it along for sentimental reasons only. The dog has no real role to play on the trip and can’t exercise any control over what happens. Some small amount of resources (space in the car, money for dog food, space for misc. supplies like a lease and food/water bowls) is devoted to ensuring the dog’s comfort, but orders of magnitude more are devoted to supporting the human family (gas money, hotel fees, restaurant budget). After many hours locked in its pet carrier cage, the dog is able to get out when the car arrives at its destination. It is a strange, alien environment that the dog has trouble interpreting, but which the humans mundanely understand is just a beach. While at the beach, the human family and the dog all sit in the sand next to a different human family, who have brought along their pet cat. The dog is astounded as he has never seen a cat before, and vice versa. The two animals sniff each other while their human owners talk in their inscrutable, high-level language, exchanging more ideas in a few seconds than either the dog or cat could learn in a lifetime. Any attempt by the animals to fight with each other is quickly broken up by the humans, with no offense taken. The trip eventually ends, the dog gets packed back in the pet carrier, and the whole group heads back home. Does the dog want to stay at the beach or go back home? No one bothers to ask.

This is certainly not a romantic vision of future space exploration, but I think it’s likely an accurate one. Just as we will lose control over the Earth with time, it stands to reason we will lose control over space, and it further stands to reason we will encounter alien civilizations where the same course of events has played out, resulting in the same order of things.

Genetic copies of people become common. As mentioned, the plot revolves around the fact that Mila Kunis is a genetic doppelganger for a dead alien space queen, so all the queen’s evil kids want to kidnap her. Yes, as diverse as the human race is, there are limits to how many unique human individuals are allowable given all the different permutations of genes made possible by our genome. Also, keep in mind that not every gene affects observable physical traits, so two people could be externally identical even if a small fraction of their genes were different. But statistically speaking, the human population would need to be in the quadrillions for our species to have exhausted all of its possible genetic variability and for unrelated people to share the same genome (or even 99% of the same genome).

I doubt the human population will ever get that high, and I think what would muck things up well before then would be the introduction of novel genes into our species through genetic engineering, which would increase the amount of potential species diversity. However, genetic copies of people will become more common for an entirely different reason: cloning. Once the technology becomes available, some people will start cloning themselves, or dead loved ones, or other people they’re obsessed with (Angelina Jolie, Hitler, Einstein) and whose DNA they’ve obtained.

Futurist thoughts about the Dakotas and Nebraska

[This draft has been sitting unfinished for almost a year, and on this lazy Sunday afternoon, I’ve finally gotten around to polishing it off and publishing it.]

Imagine driving a car down a highway at 60 mph for three hours and only seeing this.

A year ago, I spent a week in the Dakotas and Nebraska, marking my first visit to all of those places. During my many hours spent driving on the highway in my rental car and surveying the landscape, several (odd) things crossed my mind, which surprisingly enough, merit posting on this sci-tech blog.

First, let me say that for people like myself who live in urban or suburban environments, the emptiness of rural Dakota and Nebraska is profound and has to be experienced to be fully appreciated. Agricultural areas that are close enough to DC region that I’ve taken road trips through them–such as rural Ohio and Indiana–are on an entirely higher plane of density (in terms of human population and infrastructure). The Great Plains and the Midwest definitely ain’t the same thing. My trip last year thus reset my baseline about what counts as “empty” or “rural” (and I suspect trekking across Alaska would cause yet another redefinition).

The emptiness of the Dakotas is also understandable after you spend time there: there’s just nothing there to keep your interest. The terrain is monotonous (mostly flat or with low, undulating hills going out to every horizon), there’s little wildlife and few trees, and extreme weather is common. It reminded me that not every place dominated by nature is equally interesting or aesthetically pleasing. If I had to choose a “wild” place to live as hermit or nature-loving hippie, I’d pick a mountainous locale that offered good hikes and a variety of wildlife for watching, fishing and hunting, or a spot along a coastline.  Being in the middle of a literal sea of grass gets old very fast.

This is something to bear in mind when contemplating how the population will redistribute in the future if teleworking gets even more common and/or if machines render many people permanently unemployed. Without jobs keeping them tethered to cities and their surrounding suburbs, I think tens of millions of people will move to rural areas known for their natural beauty and to charming small towns (it might be helpful to map where wealthy retired people move to in large numbers). However, there are a limited number of such places, so the same problems we see today in metro areas like congestion, (relative) overpopulation, high real estate prices, and the gentrification-driven transformation of “genuine” towns into “boutique” towns would recur. Given the choice to live anywhere, almost no one would pick a little house in the prairie, but competition would be savage for plots of land in places like Silverthorne, CO or Sedona, AZ. The more verdant and mountainous part of western South Dakota near the Black Hills could also grow.

Time magazine mapped the 25 most popular destinations for retired Americans who move across state lines.

Once farms are fully automated or can be operated remotely (visualize a guy sitting in an office cubicle, using his computer to control a “drone farm combine” from 1,000 miles away), vast stretches of flat, boring land in places like the Dakotas could become completely devoid of humans. Instead of being a new phenomenon, it would just mark the endpoint of several generations-long trends in America related to agricultural automation, depopulation of rural counties thanks to low birth rates and young people moving to more interesting places like cities, and the dying out of “farm country culture” and “small town culture.”

Rural counties lost considerable population in the last decade.

This transition would be sad in some ways, but probably beneficial on balance. Not a day goes by anymore without an article appearing in a major newspaper about the epidemic of suicide, drug abuse (especially opioids and prescription pills), and despair in rural America. Clearly, something is wrong.

During my trip, I drove through several remote, decaying towns–where half the structures looked abandoned and where old, badly rusted vehicles were scattered everywhere–and some settlements that were mere clusters of trailers near the highway.  It made no sense to me for people to live in visible poverty, hours away from the nearest city and its cultural, educational and employment opportunities, beyond commuting range to any jobs, and in the midst of a monotonous landscape. What did the people do with their time? How much did their remoteness undermine their access to police and medical help during emergencies? How much extra money and manpower did the local governments have to spend extending those services, as well as utilities like electricity, to them?

It  made even less sense to me for people to live in such places, when I found that the same countryside vistas, quiet, and feeling of isolation could be had by living 30 minutes outside a small or medium-sized city in Dakota or Nebraska.  (If you don’t believe me, set out from Bismarck, ND in a car in any direction, drive for 30 minutes, doing the last ten minutes on a randomly chosen country road, and then stop and see where you are.) I think the government should fund programs to voluntarily relocate people from economically depressed small towns to metro areas (participants would have their moving expenses paid for and would be linked with affordable new homes in metro areas and entry-level jobs, but their old homes would be torn down and the land rezoned for non-residential use and or “re-wilded”) Though this is an admittedly controversial belief, bear in mind that there’s a precedent for it: During the Great Depression, a small federal agency was created called the “Resettlement Administration,” and one of the things it did was use federal money to buy poor farms in the Dust Bowl region so the suffering farmers could move elsewhere. The land was then put under the oversight of experts in forestry and soil erosion, repairing the ecological damage done by inappropriate farming practices.

But government action might not be needed to realize this scenario. I can imagine a future farm in the middle of nowhere, North Dakota, that is still owned by the same family that was granted the land in the 1800s, even though the family’s members no longer live there. The ones that do take an active role in farming live in nice, suburban houses in Bismarck, where they use telepresence virtual reality technology to remotely control machines on their farm. The machines are mostly automated, but occasionally have mechanical problems or face situations their programming leaves them unprepared for, requiring human intervention. They only have to physically visit the farm once every few weeks. Sometimes the men of the family also go there for bird hunting, to fish in the creek, and to hold family reunions in the farmhouse they remember from their childhood. I could imagine similar setups for cattle ranchers, who would entrust the herding of their cattle to different kinds of drones, which would operate autonomously most of the time and, at the flick of a switch, be remotely controllable by a human anywhere on the planet.

Another thing that struck me during my trip was that, even if people were sparse in the countryside, EVIDENCE of people was almost constantly apparent. By that I mean manmade things, like roads, power lines, buildings (farm-related sheds and shelters), radio antennas, planes flying overhead, and fences. There were lots and lots and lots of wire fences, hemming in the roads on both sides to keep cattle from freely wandering.

The presence of so much land-based infrastructure, even in places most people would call “the middle of nowhere,” hit home for me how easy it will be someday to create a national mass surveillance network. Once sensors inevitably get dirt cheap and robots can install and maintain them at low cost, there’s little reason they couldn’t be placed everywhere, even in remote parts of the Great Plains. The easiest way to do it would be to install sensor clusters (cameras, microphones, air pressure sensors, wind sensors) on power line poles. The mounting points are already there, they could be mounted high to provide long-distance views, and they’d have access to electricity. Since power lines usually parallel roads, maintenance bots would have easy access to them, and they’d be able to monitor movements of people and cargo since most everything travels via roads.

Even one sensor on every tenth pole along the highways I traversed would be good enough: the cameras would be within line of sight of each other and could see everything for miles around given the flat topography and lack of obstructions. If they detected anything in the distance they couldn’t identify, they could cue drones to investigate and could plug the surveillance gaps while being even fewer in number and more diffuse than the fixed place sensor network. Americans probably would never agree to install a mass surveillance system like this for the purpose of spying on themselves, but it might get started for innocuous reasons, like improved weather forecasting, air traffic monitoring, or wildlife monitoring.

One beneficial applications for all these technologies would be the safe reintroduction of herds of wild animals to the Great Plains. The sensor network and drones could track and shepherd them across the vast private ranches, keeping them a safe distance from the cattle, and corralling them from one fence gate to another. (Yes, being stuck in a rental car for hours while driving across a plain landscape [pun intended] will lead my mind to conjure such things.)

OK, returning to reality a little, I was surprised and disappointed by the lack of solar panels and wind turbines in the Dakotas and Nebraska. The region is well-known for being windy, and it’s actually slightly sunnier than the Mid-Atlantic, which where I’m from. But strangely, even though land costs more here, solar panels are much more common sights. If anything, I’d imagine people living in the Great Plains would welcome wind turbines as a break from the visual monotony of the natural landscape, and if I’m wrong and they don’t want to look at them, it wouldn’t be hard to find an empty valley just over the horizon for them. The large swaths of open land–including poor-quality land that was clearly unsuited for agriculture–also lend themselves to building utility-scale solar farms, yet I saw none.

Having said so many negative and strange things about my visit to the Dakotas and Nebraska, let me conclude that it was actually a good trip, nothing bad happened to me, and the people of the Great Plains struck me as very decent folk. It’s not my intention to insult anyone with my observations or speculations about how the region could improve in the future, and I hope anyone from rural America can appreciate the insights of a lifelong suburbanite like me.

Links:

Resettlement Administration (RA) (1935)

http://time.com/4734442/retirement-popular-place-map/